Friday
Oct312008
Obama and McCain's record-breaking campaign finances
A discussion at the Brookings Institute focused on campaign effects of the money, ads and mobilization of the 2008 presidential election.
Both campaigns broke records and raised a combined total of $1 billion, said Anthony Corrado, a fellow at the Brookings Institute. While McCain's campaign was well-funded, it was dwarfed by Obama's campaign, which raised more money than John Kerry's and George Bush's 2004 presidential campaigns combined.
In order to compete with Obama, McCain had to rely heavily on the Republican party to run advertisements, said Corrado. Thus, McCain had less control over the messages of the ad. Overall the Republican ads took a negative tone and also attacked other Democrats running for office, making them appear more partisan than Obama's ads.
The overall increase in campaign financing and the huge advantage that Barack Obama has isn't troubling to political scientists, said Larry Bartels, director of the Center for the Study of Democratic Politics. "To put [it] into historical comparison," said Bartles, "if you go back to before the reforms 1970s, it was quite common for Republican presidential candidates to have two-to-one funding advantages over their Democratic opponents...to gauge the effect of that on the election outcomes, it looks like that contributed something like three percentage points to the average Republican vote margin."
Both campaigns broke records and raised a combined total of $1 billion, said Anthony Corrado, a fellow at the Brookings Institute. While McCain's campaign was well-funded, it was dwarfed by Obama's campaign, which raised more money than John Kerry's and George Bush's 2004 presidential campaigns combined.
In order to compete with Obama, McCain had to rely heavily on the Republican party to run advertisements, said Corrado. Thus, McCain had less control over the messages of the ad. Overall the Republican ads took a negative tone and also attacked other Democrats running for office, making them appear more partisan than Obama's ads.
The overall increase in campaign financing and the huge advantage that Barack Obama has isn't troubling to political scientists, said Larry Bartels, director of the Center for the Study of Democratic Politics. "To put [it] into historical comparison," said Bartles, "if you go back to before the reforms 1970s, it was quite common for Republican presidential candidates to have two-to-one funding advantages over their Democratic opponents...to gauge the effect of that on the election outcomes, it looks like that contributed something like three percentage points to the average Republican vote margin."
Sotomayor Fails To Impress In Campaign Finance Challenge
Justice Sotomayor expressed some concern that if the Court decided to strike down the law, that that would cut off the democratic process, preventing the federal government and states from experimenting with different regulator regimes. Her question is one that applies to any Supreme Court decision that applies constitutional rights, and Floyd Abrams, attorney for Senator Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), easily responded that the First Amendment trumped those kinds of concerns.
Lawyers for Citizens United argued that there was no real difference between a corporation and an individual: both have First Amendment rights to speech, especially political speech, that the government cannot restrict unless it can show it has a compelling reason. The government was in an awkward position: in addition to having to backpedal from the March 24 Court session in which the government argued it could ban books if it wanted to, Solicitor General Kagan urged the Court not overturn the 1990 precedent of Austin v. Michigan Chamber of Commerce by offering a different rationale the Court could have used in that case but didn’t.
Kagan’s arguments generally fell flat, with the support for the campaign finance laws coming from Justices Stevens, Ginsberg, and Breyer, each giving his own reasons. Justice Sotomayor, only asking a couple of questions, seemed to support the laws for practical reasons, suggesting that the lower courts should reexamine this issue more before the Supreme Court decides.
Justices Roberts, Scalia, Kennedy, and Alito pushed the regulation’s advocates pointing out that the law bars any corporation from paying for ads, even small businesses completely owned by a single person. Kagan could respond only by pointing out the FEC has never gone after a small business for making an ad, prompting Justice Scalia to retort, “We don’t put our First Amendment rights in the hands of FEC bureaucrats.”
Justice Thomas, as usual, asked no questions. In the past he has been the Court’s harshest critic of campaign finance laws like these.
The Supreme Court is in recess until October 5, at which time its decision will likely be announced.