OMB Director Remains Cautious Of Fragile Economy
By Rob Sanna- Talk Radio News
Peter Orszag made his last public address as Director of the Office of Management and Budget Wednesday and lauded policies that have helped the economy begin to recover. However, he believes that the economy is far from fixed.
“We are back from the brink, but not out of the woods,” Orszag said. “The most pressing danger we now face is unacceptably weak growth and persistent unemployment, rather than outright economic collapse, more needs to be done.”
According to Orszag, the deficit is predicted to drop from of 9.2% of GDP to 5% GDP by 2015, which is the fastest deficit reduction since the end of World War II.
Orszag touted the Health Care Act and said it will drive down health care costs which will help the status of a the country’s struggling economy. In addition to lowering health care costs, the OMB Director says government spending is being reduced through cutting outdated or inefficient programs.
Orszag said that critiques against a rising defit are ill informed. Orszag argued that radically reducing the deficit would hinder the progress of an already weakened economy and job market.
“It would be foolish to dramatically reduce the deficit immediately because that would choke off the economic recovery before it had a chance to develop adequately, but it would be equally foolish not to reduce the deficit significantly by 2015, because it would seriously imperil economic growth at that point”
Panel Argues For "Super Committee" Cuts To Be Private Until Finalized
In a paneled discussion hosted by the Brookings Institute on Friday, three fiscal experts discussed the deficit’s impact on American national security and foreign policy.
Panelists included , and e at Brookings. Michael O’Hanlon, director of research for Foreign Policy and the 21st Century Defense Initiative, moderated the discussion.
“We have a new opportunity now to solve the real problem and this deal may be the first step towards a positive resolution,” Alice Rivlin, senior fellow of economics studies at the Brookings Institution, said about the new deficit-reduction bill.
The deficit-reduction deal, signed by President Obama on August 3, requires between $400 million and $1.5 billion of cuts from the national security budget, most of which is projected to come from defense.
According to Rivlin, there are three critical moves to reduce deficit spending; reduce the growth of entitlement spending, reform tax codes to ensure increased tax revenue and cap discretionary spending.
Rivlin explained that the fastest growing major category in the defense budget is healthcare and major cuts need to be made.
“The TRICARE For Life Program is an extremely generous and costly healthcare program that should be monitored,” Rivlin suggested.
TRICARE For Life is a Medicare supplement entitlement for medicare-eligible military employees and their dependents that have little co-insurance or deductible.
Former National Security Adviser Stephen Hadley echoed Rivlin’s sentiments and said that it is not fair to the active military force that the retirees have as good of a deal as it does.
“We let people retire after 20 years when they are fairly young and they can get other jobs but they still receive military retirement. Let us lengthen the period of service… so we pay them but we also get something for it in terms of our contribution to the military. There is an interaction and a set of reforms that can both make the military better and more effective and less costly,” Hadley said.
But, according to Senior Fellow Peter Singer, director of the 21st Century Defense Initiative, it is not as much about what to cut as it is about how to cut.
“We need to focus on the how question. What are the principles by which we might go about it smartly? Identify where real savings are versus false savings,” Singer said.
“We have to be willing to question 20th century assumptions about 21st century national security,” Singer continued. “We have personnel benefit system that is designed for the generation of mad men that is now the generation of google. It’s expensive and doesn’t fit their needs.”
Singer also suggested cutting areas in Pentagon spending, such as the National Missile Defense program.
“We have spent more on that project than we spent on the entire Apollo space project that put a man on the moon,” Singer revealed.
Over the past 27 years, the U.S. government has spent an estimated $150 billion on the National Missile Defense program and the success rate is a mere 8 out of 15, according to Singer. The Apollo mission, which successfully put man on the moon, cost an approximate $100 billion.
All three panelists agreed, however, that whatever the “super committee” decides to cut should be kept quiet until it is finalized. They suggested some form of a non-disclosure agreement so ideas will not be immediately shut down as they are circulated in the press and people won’t hear about various cuts without understanding the context they are made in or the strategic trade-offs.