We're Going to Have to Kill A Lot of Taliban, Says Expert
Philip Bunnell - Talk Radio News Service
Dr. David Kilcullen told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee Tuesday that in order to reach the point of reconciliation with insurgents in Afghanistan “we’re going to have to kill a lot of Taliban to get them to negotiate.”
Kilcullen , non-resident senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, said bluntly that “when governments fight insurgents, they win 80% of the time, however, when governments fight insurgents in other countries, they are victorious 20% of the time.”
Kilcullen said a government that is fighting insurgents at home has a political need to negotiate. Therefore, Kilcullen asserted that the United States will need to “negotiate from a position of strength,” and that the Taliban must believe that “they will have more to gain from talking to us than continuing to fight.”
Ryan Crocker, former ambassador to Iraq, agreed with Kilcullen saying that “reconciliation is only possible when insurgents are unsure if they are winning.”
Crocker also criticized the deadline for troop withdrawal in Afghanistan and the effects of publicizing will have on the attitudes of insurgents. While it is very complicated and nuanced, Crocker said he was concerned as to how the Taliban viewed the deadline, stating that they see it “as a date they need to hold out to, then they’ll be ok.”
Senator John Kerry (D-Mass.), Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, briefly touched on the 90,000 leaked documents regarding the war in Afghanistan from the public whistleblower website WikiLeaks.
“It’s important not to overhype or get excessively excited about the meaning of those documents,” said Kerry. “To those of us who have lived through the Pentagon Papers… there is no relationship whatsoever between that event and these documents.”
Mattis Faces CENTCOM Confirmation
Gen. James Mattis, the nominee to replace former Central Command head General David Petraeus, faced an amciable Senate panel Tuesday in the first step of what will likely be a smooth confirmation process.
Mattis, who will be tasked with overseeing the American presence in Afghanistan and Iraq, emphasized that although there will be a change in leadership, U.S. military policy, including the plan to begin the early transfer of additional power to the Afghan government in 2011, will continue uninterrupted.
Touching briefly on the recent Wikileaks scandal, in which thousands of classified documents were posted online, Mattis described the leak as “an appallingly irresponsible act,” but said that the release would have little effect on the war effort.
Little attention was paid to Mattis’s loose-lipped history, including comments made by the four-star General in 2005, in which Mattis, nicknamed ‘Mad Dog’ in some circles, told an audience during a speaking engagement in San Diego, that it was “fun to shoot some people” in Afghanistan.
“You got guys who slap women around for five years because they didn’t wear a veil. You know, guys like that ain’t got no manhood left anyway,” Mattis said in 2005. “It’s a hell of a lot of fun to shoot them. Actually, it’s a lot of fun to fight. You know, it’s a hell of a hoot. It’s fun to shoot some people. I’ll be right upfront with you, I like brawling.”
Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), the top Republican on the Senate Armed Services Committee, noted that he admired Mattis’s propensity for “straight talk.”
Mattis’s eventual predecessor General Petraeus is currently serving as the commander of U.S. forces in Afghanistan following General Stanley McChrystal’s exit amid a controversial Rolling Stone article. Mattis is currently serving as the commander of U.S. Joint Forces. Before being tapped as Cent-Com head, Mattis was reportedly intending to retire.