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Entries in president (47)

Thursday
Jan032008

More photos from Iowa

Thursday
Jan032008

Good Morn' Des Moines! 

It's like Christmas all over again here in Des Moines, Iowa. There is a huge rush of last minute "caucus shopping," as candidates try to get high turn outs. Words like "viability," "polling" and "prediction" pepper every conversation. There is so much media here in Des Moines and all over the state that it is becoming the story in some places. The floor of Exhibition Hall at the Polk County Event Center is roughly the size of a football field and reporters from all the major networks have desk or tier or floor space. All around me they are speaking different languages--behind my space is the Jiji Times, I helped a Spanish blogger upload her pictures yesterday, I watched a live shot in French. The Iowa caucus is getting more attention today than most general elections in years past.

The numbers are incredible to think about, especially for a city known for its small town feel. Over 1,700 precinct sites all over the state, two caucuses, Democrat and republican for each precinct. Approximately $200 per expected caucus supporter spent by Romney, Clinton and Obama. $17 million straight out of Romney's personal wealth. One Iowa mom told me that she got 17 prerecorded telephone calls just yesterday alone. 36 hours spent on Iowa highways and byways by John Edwards. And yet only about 7 to 10 percent of the state's population will go out tonight and caucus- between 120,000 and 150,000 Democrats, 80,000 and 90,000 Republicans. (Though it should be noted that Independents can show up to either one and anyone is allowed to change their registration on caucus night.) And three is a magic number for either John McCain, Fred Thompson or Ron Paul. Since the 1970s no candidate has been nominated for their party that finished lower than third. McCain is ahead in most polls but Thompson and Paul have a fighting chance.

And of course one is a number that is the more important here in Iowa. Iowa is getting gall this attention because it is number one. Because we have been waiting since last February or earlier in the case of some candidates, we can’t wait for them to take their first test against voters. Iowans are the SAT of who gets to go to the big show. And they are proud of that. As much as they will be happy when the national media storms Des Moines airport Friday morning and heads to New Hampshire, they are glad to be the center of attention today, defending their primacy and the tradition of the caucus.

The candidates are working full schedules. They will be doing rallies and volunteer appreciation events and of course, caucus preparedness all day. They are expected to drop by sure-to-win precinct caucuses for their respective sides and then around 10:00 p.m., 14 hours from now those counts will start to roll in. If any candidate emerges triumphant it will be "a significant victory" or a "boost to New Hampshire" but if, for example, in the Democrats there is a close result with no overwhelming leader,the message will be that Iowa is just a stop on the road to Super Tuesday.
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