Talk Radio News Service: News, Politics, Media

By Justin Duckham-Talk Radio News Service

A high-ranking Treasury Department official says that the stimulus plan is not responsible for the August rise in unemployment and may in fact have mitigated it. Friday in a briefing with reporters, Alan Krueger, Assistant Treasury Secretary for Economic Policy and Chief Economist, said that there are signs that the economy is improving, but that employers are not hiring because of a lack of confidence. In August, the number of unemployed persons increased by 466,000 to 14.9 million and the unemployment rate rose by 0.3 percent to 9.7 percent. Nonfarm payroll employment rose to 9.7 percent, or 216,000 Americans without jobs.

“Without the steps (the Obama administration has) already taken, the pain would be much worse,” Krueger said, alluding to the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, a two-year program which will provide $787 billion to jump-start local and state economies. “The typical pattern is that we see the job market recover more slowly. From employers’ perspectives, they want to be more confident that they are going to see an increase in demand before they hire.”

According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: “Among the major worker groups, the unemployment rates for adult men (10.1 percent), whites (8.9 percent), and Hispanics (13.0 percent) rose in August. The jobless rates for adult women (7.6 percent), teenagers (25.5 percent), and blacks (15.1 percent) were little changed over the
month. The unemployment rate for Asians was 7.5 percent.”

Since December, 2007, employment has fallen by 6.9 million. In August, construction employment declined by 65,000, in line with the trend since May. Monthly losses had averaged 117,000 over the six months ending in April. Employment in the construction industry has contracted by 1.4 million since the onset of the recession. Starting in early 2009, the larger share of monthly job losses shifted from the residential to the nonresidential and heavy construction components. In mining, employment declined by 9,000 over the month.

In August, manufacturing employment continued to trend downward, with a decline of 63,000. The pace of job loss has slowed throughout manufacturing in recent months. Motor vehicles and parts lost 15,000 jobs in August, partly offsetting a 31,000 employment increase in July.

Employment in the retail trade industry was little changed in August. Employment also was little changed in professional and business services over the month. From May through August, monthly employment declines in the sector averaged 46,000, compared with 138,000 per month from November through April. Job loss in its temporary help
services component has slowed markedly over the last 4 months.

Employment in health care continued to rise in August (28,000), with gains in ambulatory care and in nursing and residential care. Employment in hospitals was little changed in August; job growth in the industry slowed in early 2009 and employment has been flat since May. Health care has added 544,000 jobs since the start of the recession.

September employment figures will be released on Friday, October 2.